MIA@ATL
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
3+ THREES
Don-K's DeskHe made 5 and 4 threes in two of his four games, and my model has him near 3 in about 30 minutes. The risk is a 2-of-8 night, and he has had two of those.
Wed Oct 28
Don-K's Board: Plays of the Day
The plays Don-K likes from today's NBA games, with the reason behind each.
Don-K saysHere's what I like tonight: six plays across the NBA slate, from Heat at Hawks to Spurs at Jazz. There is no Love play, so you get two Likes and four Leans. Check the injury news and the official reports before you play any of it.
Heat at Hawks
NBA · Wed 7:00 PM ET▲ Don-K Lean
My model has him near 2.9 threes in about 30 minutes.
76ers at Pacers
NBA · Wed 7:00 PM ETPHI@IND
LeBron James
17+ POINTS
Don-K's DeskMy model has LeBron near 21 points, and he has cleared 17 in seven of his last eight. Haliburton and Zubac are out for Indiana. The risk is that Embiid is expected back for Philadelphia and the game could play differently.
Cleared 17 in 7 of his last 8 games, counting last season.
Nuggets at Pelicans
NBA · Wed 8:00 PM ETDEN@NO
Saddiq Bey
12+ POINTS
Don-K's DeskBey has scored 13, 20 and 14 for New Orleans, and my model has him near 13.5 points in about 23 minutes. The risk is a cold shooting night.
DEN@NO
Derik Queen
7+ REBOUNDS
Don-K's DeskQueen has 10, 7 and 8 rebounds in three games, and Missi is out for New Orleans. My model has him near 7 in about 24 minutes. The risk is a number he can miss by one.
Over 12 in all 3 games this season.
Cleared 7 in all 3 games this season.
Warriors at Timberwolves
NBA · Wed 8:00 PM ETGS@MIN
Ayo Dosunmu
13+ POINTS
Don-K's DeskWith Edwards out, my model has Dosunmu near 14 points. He has 16 and 14 in his two best games. The risk is that he scored 9 in each of his last two.
My model has him near 13.7 points.
Spurs at Jazz
NBA · Wed 9:00 PM ETSAS@UTAH
Keyonte George
21+ POINTS
Don-K's DeskGeorge has 22, 19, 24 and 26 points, and Jaren Jackson Jr. is out. My model has him near 21 in about 31 minutes. The risk is a 12.5-point Spurs favorite turning it into a blowout.
Cleared 21 in 3 of 4 games this season.
Don-K's ideas, not guarantees. Lines and injuries change, so check the number and the official injury report before you play. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.