The plays Don-K liked from Saturday's featured games, with the reason behind each.
Don-K saysHere's every play I liked on Saturday, and why. Pick what fits your style and skip the rest.
Indiana at Michigan
College · Sat 12:00 PM ET · FOX
IND@MICH
★ Don-K Love
Josh Hoover
IND · Sat 12:00 PM ET
OVER 209.5 PASS YDS
Don-K's DeskHoover has cleared this in 15 of his last 18 games and averages 269.3 yards. The risk is Michigan's home defense and a low-scoring grind.
IND@MICH
✔ Don-K Like
Charlie Becker
IND · Sat 12:00 PM ET
OVER 77.5 REC YDS
Don-K's DeskBecker has cleared this in 5 of his last 6 and averages 105. The risk is the same Michigan defense and Indiana leaning on the run.
Valkyries at Dream
WNBA · Sat 1:00 PM ET · NBC
GS@ATL
✔ Don-K Like
Dream
ATL · Sat 1:00 PM ET
SPREAD -5.5
Don-K's DeskAtlanta has held Golden State to 71 or fewer in every game of this series, and the Dream won the last two by 14 and 26. The risk is Golden State's shooters finally getting hot. SI has -4.5, so check the number.
GS@ATL
★ Don-K Love
Angel Reese
ATL · Sat 1:00 PM ET
OVER 30.5 PTS + REB + AST
Don-K's DeskShe had 36 combined in Game 3 and 30 points with 16 rebounds in Game 2. The risk is a blowout cutting her minutes.
GS@ATL
✔ Don-K Like
Jordin Canada
ATL · Sat 1:00 PM ET
OVER 11.5 REB + AST
Don-K's DeskCanada had 7 rebounds and 10 assists in Game 2, and she runs the offense. The risk is Golden State taking away her passing lanes.
Texas A&M at Alabama
College · Sat 3:30 PM ET · ABC
TXAM@ALA
★ Don-K Love
Keelon Russell
ALA · Sat 3:30 PM ET
OVER 25.5 RUSH YDS
Don-K's DeskRussell has cleared this in 4 of his last 5 at home and averages 46.8. With Alabama running back EJ Crowell doubtful, he could see more rushing work. The risk is an early lead pulling him in garbage time.
TXAM@ALA
★ Don-K Love
Rueben Owens II
TXAM · Sat 3:30 PM ET
OVER 19.5 RUSH YDS
Don-K's DeskOwens has cleared this in 14 of his last 16 and averages 54.4. The risk is Alabama building a lead and Texas A&M abandoning the run.
TXAM@ALA
▲ Don-K Lean
Game total
Sat 3:30 PM ET
UNDER 50.5 PTS
Don-K's DeskThe under has hit in 7 of Alabama's last 7 against top-25 scoring defenses. The risk is Alabama's offense breaking the game open.
Ole Miss at Texas
College · Sat 7:30 PM ET · ABC
MISS@TEX
★ Don-K Love
Ole Miss
MISS · Sat 7:30 PM ET
SPREAD +2.5
Don-K's DeskTexas is 0-5 against the spread in its last five as a favorite, and Ole Miss just beat Missouri 31-3. The risk is Texas waking up at home. CBS had Texas at -3.5, so check the number.
MISS@TEX
✔ Don-K Like
Trinidad Chambliss
MISS · Sat 7:30 PM ET
OVER 247.5 PASS YDS
Don-K's DeskChambliss has cleared this in 15 of his last 19 and averages 292.3. The risk is Texas taking away the deep ball and Ole Miss running it.
MISS@TEX
✔ Don-K Like
Raleek Brown
TEX · Sat 7:30 PM ET
OVER 39.5 RUSH YDS
Don-K's DeskBrown has cleared this in 15 of his last 17 and averages 80.5. The risk is Texas trailing and abandoning the run.
MISS@TEX
▲ Don-K Lean
Kewan Lacy
MISS · Sat 7:30 PM ET
ANYTIME TD
Don-K's DeskLacy has scored in 13 of his last 14 and ran for 122 yards against Missouri. The risk is the goal-line work going to someone else.
Rockets at Hawks
NBA · Sat 8:30 PM ET
HOU@ATL
★ Don-K Love
Jock Landale
ATL · Sat 8:30 PM ET
OVER 13.5 PTS + REB + AST
Don-K's DeskLandale had 15 and 18 combined in about 18 minutes a night, and the over has hit in 4 of his last 5 on Outlier. The risk is a lopsided game cutting a bench big's minutes.
HOU@ATL
✔ Don-K Like
Alperen Sengun
HOU · Sat 8:30 PM ET
OVER 34.5 PTS + REB + AST
Don-K's DeskSengun had 38 and 43 combined in Houston's first two games, and VanVleet and Adams are out. The risk is foul trouble or a back-to-back trimming his minutes.
HOU@ATL
✔ Don-K Like
Aaron Wiggins
ATL · Sat 8:30 PM ET
OVER 15.5 PTS + REB + AST
Don-K's DeskWiggins had 19 and 21 combined in Atlanta's first two games. The risk is his minutes shrinking, since Outlier's longer history on this line is weak.
HOU@ATL
★ Don-K Love
Dyson Daniels
ATL · Sat 8:30 PM ET
OVER 32.5 FANTASY SCORE
Don-K's DeskDaniels scored about 42 and 52 on PrizePicks' formula in his first two games, with steals doing a lot of the work. PrizePicks lists 32, so check the number. The risk is streaky steals.
Heat at Hornets
NBA · Sat 6:00 PM ET
MIA@CHA
★ Don-K Love
Brandon Miller
CHA · Sat 6:00 PM ET
UNDER 31.5 PTS + REB + AST
Don-K's DeskMiller is Charlotte's top option, and the under has hit in 9 of his last 10 on Outlier. He had 22 and 8 combined this season. The risk is extra shots if Knueppel or White sits.
Played 23 minutes. Opening game: 18 points, 3 rebounds, 1 assist in 36 minutes.
Bucks at 76ers
NBA · Sat 7:30 PM ET
MIL@PHI
✔ Don-K Like
Tyrese Maxey
PHI · Sat 7:30 PM ET
OVER 40.5 FANTASY SCORE
Don-K's DeskMaxey scored about 56 and 49 on PrizePicks' formula in his first two games, playing 40 and 42 minutes. PrizePicks lists 44 and Underdog 40.95, so check the number. The risk is a lopsided game cutting his minutes.
2 steals, 2 turnovers. The 76ers won 114-106.
The finals.
How Saturday games ended. Scores and player lines are from ESPN box scores.
Indiana at Michigan
Michigan StadiumFinal
1
2
3
4
OT
T
Indiana (7-1)
3
3
0
0
7
13
Michigan (4-3)
0
0
3
3
0
6
Indiana won 13-6 in overtime. Each team had two field goals in regulation and it was 6-6 after four quarters. Indiana scored in overtime on a 4-yard touchdown run by Josh Hoover, and Michigan did not score. Hoover was 8 of 18 for 81 yards with an interception, and Charlie Becker had 3 catches for 32 yards. Michigan's Tommy Carr was 20 of 32 for 167 yards with an interception.
Rushing 4 carries, 7 yards and a touchdown.
Don-K's take Each team kicked two field goals in regulation, and Indiana got the only touchdown, in overtime.
Valkyries at Dream
State Farm Arena · WNBA Finals Game 4Final
1
2
3
4
T
Valkyries
16
26
12
13
67
Dream
11
15
19
17
62
Golden State won Game 4, 67-62. The Valkyries led 42-26 at the half, and the Dream outscored them 36-25 after the break. Rhyne Howard led Atlanta with 19 points and 8 rebounds, and Angel Reese had 8 points, 9 rebounds, 3 assists and 3 blocks. Gabby Williams had 17 points for Golden State, and Tiffany Hayes added 13.
Shooting 2-12 FG, 0-1 3PT, 4-6 FT. Also 1 steal and 6 turnovers.
Shooting 6-14 FG, 2-8 3PT, 5-7 FT. Also 3 turnovers.
Shooting 3-8 FG, 0-3 3PT, 4-6 FT. Also 2 turnovers.
Shooting 1-7 FG, 0-4 3PT, 3-4 FT. Also 2 turnovers.
Shooting 7-21 FG, 0-6 3PT, 3-3 FT. Also 2 steals.
Don-K's take Atlanta trailed by 16 at the half and got within five by the end.
Texas A&M at Alabama
Bryant-Denny StadiumFinal
1
2
3
4
T
Texas A&M (4-4)
7
10
3
0
20
Alabama (6-2)
10
7
0
14
31
Alabama won 31-20. The Aggies led 20-17 after three quarters, and the Tide scored 14 in the fourth while Texas A&M was shut out. Keelon Russell was 19 of 30 for 311 yards with 3 touchdowns and an interception, and Rico Scott caught 6 passes for 156 yards. For Texas A&M, Marcel Reed was 14 of 21 for 163 yards with a touchdown and 2 interceptions.
Rushing 17 carries, 23 yards and a touchdown.
Rushing 9 carries, 20 yards.
Don-K's take Texas A&M led 20-17 going into the fourth. Alabama outscored the Aggies 14-0 from there.
Heat at Hornets
Spectrum CenterFinal
1
2
3
4
T
Heat (0-3)
31
27
17
35
110
Hornets (2-1)
31
35
30
19
115
Charlotte won 115-110. The Hornets led 96-75 after three quarters, and Miami outscored them 35-19 in the fourth to get within five. Brandon Miller had 34 points and 7 rebounds in 36 minutes, Dennis Schroder had 25 points and Naz Reid had 23 points and 9 rebounds. For Miami, Davion Mitchell had 22 points and 10 assists, and Giannis Antetokounmpo had 14 points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists in 25 minutes.
Shooting 4-11 FG, 0-1 3PT, 6-8 FT. Also 1 steal and 3 turnovers.
Shooting 8-13 FG, 3-4 3PT, 3-3 FT. Also 1 steal and 2 turnovers.
Shooting 10-29 FG, 3-10 3PT, 11-12 FT. Also 4 turnovers.
Shooting 9-16 FG, 5-8 3PT. Also 1 turnover.
Don-K's take Charlotte won the first three quarters 96-75 combined, and Miami won the fourth 35-19.
Bucks at 76ers
Xfinity Mobile ArenaFinal
1
2
3
4
T
Bucks (0-3)
25
35
27
29
116
76ers (3-0)
34
30
33
30
127
Philadelphia won 127-116 and is 3-0. Joel Embiid had 28 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists, Jaylen Brown had 27 points and Tyrese Maxey had 26 points in 36 minutes. For Milwaukee, Jaime Jaquez Jr. had 21 points and Kel'el Ware had 19 points and 13 rebounds.
Shooting 9-22 FG, 4-9 3PT, 4-4 FT. Also 3 turnovers.
Shooting 8-20 FG, 0-3 3PT, 12-14 FT. Also 1 steal and 4 turnovers.
Shooting 9-19 FG, 3-6 3PT, 6-6 FT. Also 3 steals and 3 turnovers.
Shooting 6-11 FG, 2-5 3PT, 5-5 FT. Also 1 steal and 3 turnovers.
Don-K's take Philadelphia led 64-60 at the half and 97-87 after three. The fourth was 30-29.
Ole Miss at Texas
DKR-Texas Memorial StadiumFinal
1
2
3
4
T
Ole Miss (5-2)
3
0
14
10
27
Texas (5-2)
10
14
0
10
34
Texas won 34-27. The Longhorns led 24-3 at the half, and Ole Miss scored 14 in the third and 10 in the fourth to get within a touchdown late. Arch Manning was 18 of 30 for 212 yards with a touchdown and 2 interceptions, and ran for 2 touchdowns. Raleek Brown had 23 carries for 157 yards, and Ryan Wingo had 7 catches for 111 yards and a touchdown. Trinidad Chambliss was 25 of 52 for 250 yards with 2 touchdowns and 3 interceptions.
Rushing 5 carries, 7 yards.
Receiving 1 catch, 6 yards.
Rushing 8 carries, 2 yards and 2 touchdowns.
Don-K's take Texas led 24-3 at the half and won by seven. Ole Miss outscored the Longhorns 24-10 in the second half.
Rockets at Hawks
State Farm ArenaFinal
1
2
3
4
T
Rockets (3-0)
30
29
33
29
121
Hawks (2-1)
26
22
33
33
114
Houston won 121-114 and is 3-0. The Rockets led 59-48 at the half and 92-81 after three, and Atlanta outscored them 33-29 in the fourth. Jalen Johnson had 26 points, 9 rebounds and 16 assists in 38 minutes, and Dyson Daniels had 18 points and 8 rebounds. For Houston, Kevin Durant scored 22, Reed Sheppard had 19 points and 7 assists, and Alperen Sengun had 17 points, 10 rebounds and 7 assists.
Shooting 8-19 FG, 2-7 3PT, 8-10 FT. Also 2 steals and 2 turnovers.
Shooting 8-11 FG, 1-1 3PT, 1-2 FT. Also 1 steal and 1 turnover.
Shooting 6-13 FG, 4-9 3PT. Also 1 steal.
Shooting 1-5 FG, 0-4 3PT. Also 5 turnovers.
Shooting 6-12 FG, 1-2 3PT, 4-6 FT. Also 1 steal and 3 turnovers.
Shooting 8-15 FG, 3-7 3PT, 3-3 FT. Also 2 turnovers.
Don-K's take Houston led by 11 at the half and by 11 after three. Atlanta won the fourth, 33-29, and fell seven short.
Don-K's ideas, not guarantees. Lines and injuries change, so check the number and the official injury report before you play. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.