The plays we like from today's NFL and NBA games, with the reason behind each.
The Desk saysTonight's NBA plays come first: five points plays from Nets @ Pacers, Clippers @ Warriors and Raptors @ Lakers. Golden State is resting Curry and Draymond. Today's NFL plays are below them.
Nets @ Pacers
NBA · Sun 5:00 PM ET · Indianapolis
BKN@IND
✔ Like
Andrew Nembhard
IND · Sun 5:00 PM ET
UNDER 18.5 POINTS
The DeskHe runs the offense with Haliburton and McConnell out, but our middle outcome is 15.6 points. Under in 8 of his last 10.
Best price 1.84 on Outlier. Our chance 60.7% after the 5-point haircut.
Clippers @ Warriors
NBA · Sun 8:30 PM ET · San Francisco
LAC@GS
✔ Like
Darius Garland
LAC · Sun 8:30 PM ET
UNDER 23.5 POINTS
The DeskOur middle outcome is 19.5 against a 23.5 line. Under in 7 of his last 10.
LAC@GS
✔ Like
Kris Dunn
LAC · Sun 8:30 PM ET
UNDER 8.5 POINTS
The DeskHeavy minutes for defense, light scoring. Under in 9 of his last 10.
Best price 1.84 on Outlier. Our chance 64.8% after the 5-point haircut.
Best price 1.84 on Outlier. Our chance 59.5% after the 5-point haircut.
Raptors @ Lakers
NBA · Sun 9:00 PM ET · Los Angeles
TOR@LAL
✔ Like
Collin Sexton
LAL · Sun 9:00 PM ET
OVER 9 POINTS
The DeskOver 9 in 7 of his last 10, with a middle outcome of 11.2 in about 17 minutes off the bench.
TOR@LAL
✔ Like
Ziaire Williams
LAL · Sun 9:00 PM ET
OVER 8.5 POINTS
The DeskOver in 9 of his last 10. Game-time decision, so only if he's active.
Best price 1.84 on Outlier. Our chance 64.7%.
Best price 1.94 on Outlier. Our chance 73.0% if he plays his usual minutes.
Falcons @ Bucs
NFL · Sun 1:00 PM ET · Tampa
ATL@TB
★ Love
Bijan Robinson
ATL · Sun 1:00 PM ET
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
The DeskBrian Robinson is out, so the whole backfield is Bijan's. Our chance is 48.5 percent. The risk: Tampa holds Atlanta out of the red zone.
ATL@TB
★ Love
Bijan Robinson
ATL · Sun 1:00 PM ET
OVER 79.5 RUSH YDS
The DeskRain in Tampa and no Brian Robinson. Our middle outcome is 84.3 yards, the most on the slate. The risk: Atlanta falls behind and throws.
ATL@TB
✔ Like
Drake London
ATL · Sun 1:00 PM ET
UNDER 79.5 REC YDS
The DeskA rainy, run-first day for Atlanta. Our middle outcome is 67.3 yards. Atlanta game, so check the number objectively.
ATL@TB
★ Love
Bucky Irving
TB · Sun 1:00 PM ET
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
The Desk27 red-zone touches, against a Falcons defense missing two starters. Our chance is 42.6 percent.
Fair price 2.06. Scored in 3 of 7 games.
Best price 1.87 on Outlier.
Best price 1.94 on Outlier.
Fair price 2.35. Scored in 3 of 7 games.
Ravens @ Bills
NFL · Sun 1:00 PM ET · Orchard Park
BAL@BUF
★ Love
Derrick Henry
BAL · Sun 1:00 PM ET
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
The Desk147 carries and 37 red-zone touches. Our chance is 60.4 percent, second-best on the slate.
BAL@BUF
★ Love
James Cook
BUF · Sun 1:00 PM ET
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
The Desk627 yards and 6 touchdowns in 6 games. Our chance is 50.1 percent.
BAL@BUF
✔ Like
Josh Allen
BUF · Sun 1:00 PM ET
UNDER 39.5 RUSH YDS
The DeskBuffalo can throw on a secondary missing its free safety. Our middle outcome is 31.4 rushing yards.
Fair price 1.65. Scored in 5 of 7 games.
Fair price 2.00. Scored in 5 of 6 games.
Best price 1.77 on Outlier.
Chiefs @ Broncos
NFL · Sun 4:25 PM ET · Denver
KC@DEN
★ Love
Kenneth Walker III
KC · Sun 4:25 PM ET
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
The Desk8 touchdowns and 33 red-zone touches in 6 games. Our chance is 58.2 percent.
Fair price 1.72. Scored in 4 of 6 games.
Around the league
NFL · Sun 1:00 PM ET
ARI@DAL
★ Love
Javonte Williams
DAL · Sun 1:00 PM ET
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
The DeskThe best touchdown chance on the slate at 61.7 percent. Dallas has the day's highest implied total.
MIN@DET
★ Love
Jahmyr Gibbs
DET · Sun 1:00 PM ET
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
The Desk43 red-zone touches and 9 touchdowns in 6 games. Our chance is 56.8 percent.
ARI @ DAL. Fair price 1.62. Scored in 6 of 7 games.
MIN @ DET. Fair price 1.76. Scored in 5 of 6 games.
The finals.
How Sunday's featured games ended. Scores and player lines are from the CBS Sports box scores.
Nets @ Pacers
IndianapolisFinal
1
2
3
4
T
Nets
20
23
28
27
98
Pacers
19
21
22
28
90
Brooklyn won 98-90 in Indianapolis, leading 43-40 at the half and outscoring the Pacers 55-50 after it. Michael Porter Jr. scored 23 and Julius Randle had 20 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists. For Indiana, Andrew Nembhard scored 23 with 3 rebounds and 4 assists in 34 minutes.
Clippers @ Warriors
San FranciscoFinal
1
2
3
4
T
Clippers
37
20
28
27
112
Warriors
29
34
29
32
124
Golden State won 124-112 with Curry and Draymond resting. The Clippers led 37-29 after the first quarter, then the Warriors outscored them 95-75 the rest of the way. Rookie Yaxel Lendeborg led the way with 37 points on 13-of-19 shooting, Brandin Podziemski had 17 points, 8 rebounds and 8 assists, and Melton scored 21. For Los Angeles, Darius Garland had 15 points and 7 assists in 32 minutes, and Kris Dunn had 12 points and 7 steals in 26.
Raptors @ Lakers
Los AngelesFinal
1
2
3
4
T
Raptors
23
31
28
43
125
Lakers
36
30
38
27
131
Los Angeles won 131-125. The Lakers led by 22 going into the fourth quarter, and Toronto scored 43 in the last 12 minutes but ran out of time. Luka Doncic had 45 points, 15 rebounds, 6 assists and 5 steals in 35 minutes, Reaves scored 19, and Collin Sexton had 14 points in 19 minutes. For Toronto, Scottie Barnes had 29 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists, and RJ Barrett had 22 points and 10 rebounds.
Falcons @ Bucs
TampaFinal
1
2
3
4
T
Falcons
0
0
0
0
0
Bucs
6
3
7
0
16
Tampa Bay won 16-0 and held Atlanta scoreless. Kicker McLaughlin made three field goals (46, 34 and 42 yards) and Bucky Irving scored from 4 yards out in the third quarter. Irving ran 27 times for 170 yards and Gainwell added 25 carries for 140, so the Bucs rushed for 324 yards to Atlanta's 99. Michael Penix Jr. was 8 of 24 for 125 yards with four interceptions. Bijan Robinson had 19 carries for 76 yards, and Dotson caught 2 passes for 95 yards.
Ravens @ Bills
Orchard ParkFinal
1
2
3
4
T
Ravens
7
0
3
0
10
Bills
10
6
7
13
36
Buffalo won 36-10 and outgained Baltimore 426 yards to 144. Josh Allen threw for 289 yards and two touchdowns (23 yards to Dalton Kincaid, 11 to DJ Moore) with one interception, and ran for a 1-yard score. James Cook ran for 80 yards and a 5-yard touchdown, and Derrick Henry had 11 carries for 53 yards and a 2-yard touchdown. Baltimore's Fagnano was 10 of 21 for 91 yards with an interception, and Lamar Jackson was 0 of 1.
Chiefs @ Broncos
DenverFinal
1
2
3
4
T
Chiefs
7
10
7
0
24
Broncos
3
10
0
15
28
Denver won 28-24 by scoring 15 points in the fourth quarter after trailing 24-13. Bo Nix threw for 222 yards and two touchdowns (1 yard to Jaylen Waddle, 2 yards to Adkins), and Waddle was also on the two-point conversion. J. Coleman had 11 carries for 41 yards and a 5-yard touchdown with 1:56 left. Patrick Mahomes was 30 of 41 for 321 yards and three touchdowns (Rice 11 yards, E. Johnson 73, Gray 4), and Kansas City outgained Denver 399 to 294. Kenneth Walker III had 21 carries for 69 yards and 4 catches for 15.
The Desk's ideas, not guarantees. Lines and injuries change, so check the number and the official injury report before you play. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.