Saturday Kollege Kast: Don-K's three-game board.
Orange = Don-K's picksTeal = names and things to watch
Alright, Kulture Kast, pull up a chair. Don-K did the homework on three games, one for each window, so you don't get lost in a 40-game slate. Indiana wants to prove it belongs, Alabama is a big favorite with a habit of low-scoring games against good defenses, and Texas is a home favorite with a losing streak. Let's go.
Today's college football slate
— CFB on FOX (@CFBONFOX) (October 24, 2026)
That's the whole Saturday menu. Forty-plus games, and Don-K only wants three of them.
The snapshot
| Spread | Moneyline | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana at Michigan | IND -7.5 (+104 / 2.04) · MICH +7.5 (-105 / 1.95) | IND -270 (1.37) · MICH +260 (3.60) | o42.5 (-104 / 1.96) · u42.5 (+102 / 2.02) |
| Texas A&M at Alabama | TXAM +13.5 (+102 / 2.02) · ALA -13.5 (-105 / 1.95) | TXAM +490 (5.90) · ALA -526 (1.19) | o50.5 (+104 / 2.04) · u50.5 (-103 / 1.97) |
| Ole Miss at Texas | MISS +2.5 (+118 / 2.18) · TEX -2.5 (-115 / 1.87) | MISS +138 (2.38) · TEX -141 (1.71) | o53.5 (-106 / 1.94) · u53.5 (+102 / 2.02) |
Prices from Outlier on Saturday morning. CBS had Texas at -3.5 and Indiana at -7, so check the number before you play. Lines move and books don't match.
Noon: Indiana at Michigan
Indiana is 6–1 and Michigan is 4–2. The Hoosiers are 4–1 in their last five against top-25 scoring defenses, and Don-K's read is that they win it through the air.
Josh Hoover has cleared 209.5 passing yards in 15 of his last 18 games, and he averages 269.3. He has also thrown two or more touchdowns in 7 of his last 9. Charlie Becker has cleared 77.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 6, and he averages 105.
Now the catch. The under has hit in 8 of Michigan's last 9 at home, and Indiana is 0–5 against the spread in its last five against top-25 scoring defenses. That's why I'm on the passing yards and not the spread. A grind could cap both of them.
Afternoon: Texas A&M at Alabama
Alabama is 5–2, Texas A&M is 4–3, and the Tide are a 13.5-point favorite. But the under has hit in 7 of Alabama's last 7 games against top-25 scoring defenses, and Alabama is 1–4 against the spread in that spot.
Keelon Russell has cleared 25.5 rushing yards in 4 of his last 5 at home, and he averages 46.8. Alabama running back EJ Crowell is doubtful per the SEC availability report, which could mean extra work for Russell. That's Don-K's read, not a confirmed role change. Rueben Owens II has cleared 19.5 rushing yards in 14 of his last 16, and he averages 54.4. A&M receiver Kelshaun Johnson is out, so the run game matters.
The risk is garbage time. If Alabama builds a big lead early, Owens can lose carries and Russell can get pulled.
Primetime: Ole Miss at Texas
Texas fell from No. 1 to No. 19 after two straight conference losses, the latest 27–24 to Florida, where Arch Manning threw for 173. Ole Miss is 5–1 and just beat Missouri 31–3. Texas is 0–5 against the spread in its last five as a favorite, so Don-K likes the Rebels at the number.
Trinidad Chambliss has cleared 247.5 passing yards in 15 of his last 19, and he averages 292.3. Kewan Lacy has scored in 13 of his last 14 and averages 1.5 touchdowns a game. He ran for 122 yards on 16 carries against Missouri. On the Texas side, Raleek Brown has cleared 39.5 rushing yards in 15 of his last 17, and he averages 80.5.
The risk is that Texas wakes up at home. Coach Sarkisian says Texas needs "a better version of Arch Manning," and Brown's rushing yards depend on Texas leading. Texas leads the all-time series 6–2, but Ole Miss won the last meeting in Austin, 44–23, in 2013.
The Board: Don-K's picks
Josh Hoover over 209.5 passing yards at -115 (1.87) · Kast It: Love
Best price on Outlier. Hoover averages 269.3 and has cleared this in 15 of his last 18. The risk: Michigan's defense turns it into a grind.
Charlie Becker over 77.5 receiving yards at -112 (1.89) · Kast It: Like
Becker averages 105 and has cleared this in 5 of his last 6. The risk: a low-scoring game limits the volume.
Keelon Russell over 25.5 rushing yards at -115 (1.87) · Kast It: Love
Russell averages 46.8 at home. The risk: a big Alabama lead means fewer carries.
Rueben Owens II over 19.5 rushing yards · Kast It: Love
Price not pulled. Owens averages 54.4 and has cleared this in 14 of his last 16. The risk: Alabama builds a lead and A&M has to throw.
Texas A&M at Alabama, under 50.5 at -103 (1.97) · Kast It: Lean
The under has hit in 7 of Alabama's last 7 against top-25 scoring defenses. The risk: Alabama's offense breaks loose.
Ole Miss +2.5 at +118 (2.18) · Kast It: Love
Texas is 0–5 against the spread as a favorite and Ole Miss is coming off a 31–3 win. The risk: Texas bounces back at home. Check the number, since CBS had Texas at -3.5.
Trinidad Chambliss over 247.5 passing yards at -115 (1.87) · Kast It: Like
Chambliss averages 292.3 and has thrown a touchdown pass in 19 straight games. The risk: Texas takes away the deep ball.
Raleek Brown over 39.5 rushing yards · Kast It: Like
Price not pulled. Brown averages 80.5 and has cleared this in 15 of his last 17. The risk: Texas falls behind and abandons the run.
Kewan Lacy anytime touchdown at +115 (2.15) · Kast It: Lean
Lacy has scored in 13 of his last 14. The risk: Ole Miss gets stopped near the goal line or Lacy shares the carries.
Prices are Outlier's, read Saturday morning, so check yours. These are Don-K's ideas, not guarantees. Check the final injury reports and your own book before you play.
Hoover and Becker get Indiana home, Alabama wins but not by 13, and Ole Miss rides Chambliss and Lacy in Austin.
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