Tip-Off Kast · NBA

Cavaliers at Hawks: I check the number without the logo.

Don-K, the Kulture Kast host, giving a thumbs-up with his Kulture Kast mug

Orange = Don-K's picksTeal = names and things to watch

Cleveland comes to State Farm Arena tonight at 8:00 PM ET. I am a Hawks fan, so before anything else: check the number objectively, and check it without the logo on it.

The snapshot

CavaliersHawks
Spread+1.5-1.5
Total238.5238.5
Tip8:00 PM ETState Farm Arena

Lines are from the Kast Prep Brief. Books differ and lines move, so check yours. Both teams played Wednesday night, so minutes are worth watching.

Who is healthy

Atlanta is without M. Gueye (foot, out until at least Nov 20) and H. Veesaar (knee, out for the season). Cleveland is without N. Tomlin (back, out until at least Nov 16). Statuses are from CBS Sports as of 11:30 AM ET, and no one on this game is listed as questionable. Always check the official report before you play.

Don-K's plays for tonight

Don-K's pick

Evan Mobley over 17.5 points (Like)

Over 17.5. Mobley is over this number in 4 of his last 5, per Outlier, and Cleveland is without Tomlin. The risk is his minutes.

Don-K's pick

Jalen Johnson under 21.5 points (Like)

Under 21.5. Johnson is under this number in 8 of his last 10, per Outlier. I know this sits oddly next to my read that Atlanta wins. Johnson can score less and the Hawks can still win, but if it is close Atlanta will lean on him, so play it with your eyes open.

Don-K's pick

Precious Achiuwa over 10.5 points, Kings at Pelicans (Lean)

Over 10.5. Sacramento is missing M. Raynaud, K. Murray and D. Cardwell, and B. Simmons is out for the season. The risk is that Achiuwa scored 4 points against San Antonio on Tuesday, and New Orleans has Y. Missi out with J. Poole questionable.

Don-K's take I am a fan, so I am telling you the part I cannot see clearly. If you only want one of the two Cleveland-Atlanta plays, take the Mobley over. It does not fight my own read.
Don-K's call
Hawks win. Kast it.

I lean Atlanta at home. That is a call, not a Board play, and it is the reason I flagged the Johnson under above.

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Ideas are for entertainment and informational purposes only and are not guarantees. Lines and injuries change, so check them before you play. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.