KULTURE KAST
Tip-Off Kast · NBA

Monday NBA: Cavs, Warriors and four plays.

The Kulture Kast DeskMon Nov 2, 2026Monday night · Thunder @ Cavaliers, Suns @ Warriors
Published

Crimson = The Desk's picksBlue = names and things to watch

Two NBA games get our full look tonight: Thunder at Cavaliers and Suns at Warriors. Oklahoma City is missing several rotation players, and Stephen Curry and Draymond Green are listed probable on FanDuel as of noon, with rest tags, so check their status later.

The snapshot

GameTip (ET)LineTotal
Thunder @ Cavaliers7:00 PMCLE -4.5229.5
Suns @ Warriors10:00 PMGS -2.5 or -3.5 (books split)226.5

Lines from CBS Sports, read about 11:00 AM ET. The Warriors line is split across books, so shop yours. Model numbers come from the Kulture Kast NBA dashboard (11:08 AM ET run), and hit rates are Outlier's, read late this morning.

Thunder @ Cavaliers · 7:00 PM

Who's out: Chet Holmgren (knee), Alex Caruso (ankle), Jalen Williams (ankle) and Nikola Topic (back) for Oklahoma City, and Jaylon Tyson (ankle) for Cleveland. P. Watson (Cleveland, hamstring) is day to day.

The Desk's take Evan Mobley is the play. Our dashboard has him at 18.7 points in about 33 minutes against a 16.5 line, and he's over in 4 of his last 5. On the other side, Ajay Mitchell has scored 19.0 a game over his last five, but our middle outcome is 13.7 points in about 26 minutes, so the 18.5 line is a number to fade.
The Desk's pick

Evan Mobley over 16.5 points · Kast It: Love

Over in 4 of his last 5 and 6 of his last 10, with a middle outcome of 18.5 points in about 33 minutes.

The Desk's pick

Ajay Mitchell under 18.5 points · Kast It: Like

Under in 7 of his last 10. The risk: he is hot, and the Thunder are short-handed enough to lean on him.

The Desk's call
Cavaliers 116, Thunder 111. Kast it.

Cleveland at home against an Oklahoma City team missing a lot of its rotation.

Suns @ Warriors · 10:00 PM

Who's out: Kristaps Porzingis (illness), Jimmy Butler (knee) and Moses Moody (knee) for Golden State, and Mark Williams (shoulder) for Phoenix. Stephen Curry and Draymond Green (both rest) show as probable on FanDuel as of noon, but they sat Sunday and the rest tags are still up, so check their status later.

The Desk's take Brandin Podziemski is the steady one: our middle outcome is 16.0 points in about 32 minutes against a 14.5 line, and he's over in 8 of his last 10 and 16 of his last 20. Dillon Brooks' points, rebounds and assists combined sit at a middle outcome of 22.2 against 21.5, so the edge is thin but the history is strong.
The Desk's pick

Brandin Podziemski over 14.5 points · Kast It: Love

Over in 8 of his last 10. The risk: if Curry plays, the shots shrink.

The Desk's pick

Dillon Brooks over 21.5 points + rebounds + assists · Kast It: Like

Over in 8 of his last 10. The risk: the line sits close to our number.

The Desk's call
Warriors 115, Suns 112. Kast it.

This assumes Curry and Draymond sit again. If either plays, check the number again.

The Desk's ideas, not guarantees. Lines and injuries change. 21+. 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Ideas are for entertainment and informational purposes only and are not guarantees. Lines and injuries change, so check them before you play. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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