Tip-Off Kast · NBA

Wednesday NBA: Trae comes home and three plays.

Crimson = The Desk's picksBlue = names and things to watch

Three NBA games get our full look tonight: Hawks at Wizards, where Trae Young faces his old team, Cavaliers at Thunder and Mavericks at Spurs. Oklahoma City is missing four rotation players, and the Wizards have three players listed questionable.

The snapshot

GameTip (ET)LineTotal
Hawks @ Wizards7:00 PMATL -2.5231.5
Cavaliers @ Thunder8:00 PMOKC -3.5227.5
Mavericks @ Spurs9:30 PMSAS -12.5227.5

Lines from CBS Sports, read about 5:55 PM ET. Model numbers come from the Kulture Kast NBA dashboard (5:29 PM ET run).

Hawks @ Wizards · 7:00 PM

Who's out: Jock Landale for Atlanta, and Justin Champagnie and Tristan Vukcevic for Washington. Questionable: Jalen Johnson for Atlanta, and Anthony Gill, Alex Sarr and Bilal Coulibaly (illness) for Washington.

Trae Young is averaging 19.9 points and 10 assists for Washington, which is 4-3 for its first winning start through seven games since 2021-22. The Hawks come in on a win at Indiana, where Nickeil Alexander-Walker scored 34 with nine threes. It is a home-and-home: the teams meet again Friday in Atlanta, and C.J. McCollum is back in Washington tonight.

The Desk's take The Trae assists under is a number to check objectively. He averages 10.0 assists and 9.0 over his last five, but our middle outcome is 11.0, above the 10.5 line. If Sarr sits, more of the offense runs through him.
The Desk's call

Trae Young under 10.5 assists · no stamp

Our model sits above this line, so there is no Kast It stamp. Check the number objectively. The risk: he reaches 11 or more.

The Desk's call
Hawks 118, Wizards 114. Kast it.

Atlanta has the better roster and the Wizards are thin, but Washington is 4-3 and at home. Check Johnson and Sarr before tip.

Cavaliers @ Thunder · 8:00 PM

Who's out: Peyton Watson and Jaylon Tyson for Cleveland, and Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace and Alex Caruso for Oklahoma City. Jaylin Williams (back) is questionable.

Oklahoma City is 5-2 and Cleveland is 4-3. The Thunder won Monday 117-112 in Cleveland behind Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's season-high 43 points, and the rematch is in Oklahoma City. Kenrich Williams has been starting, and Meleek Thomas scored 17 in his first start.

The Desk's take Jarrett Allen is the play. Our dashboard has him at 14.7 points in about 29 minutes against a 12.5 line, and he averages 15.1 this season and 14.2 over his last five.
The Desk's pick

Jarrett Allen over 12.5 points · Kast It: Love

Our middle outcome is 14.7 points. The risk: a slower game with fewer shots.

The Desk's call
Thunder 115, Cavaliers 111. Kast it.

Oklahoma City is short-handed but won the first meeting, and it is at home.

Mavericks @ Spurs · 9:30 PM

Who's out: Max Christie, Dereck Lively II and Sergio de Larrea for Dallas, and Tobias Harris for San Antonio. Santi Aldama is questionable for Dallas.

The Spurs are 5-2 and on a five-game win streak, and they beat Dallas 122-106 on Oct 24. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 25.7 points and 10.7 rebounds, and Dylan Harper had a career-high 25 Saturday. Cooper Flagg is averaging 25.2 points for Dallas but went 3 of 19 Monday.

The Desk's take Keldon Johnson is the rebounding play. Our middle outcome is 5.0 rebounds in about 23 minutes against a 3.5 line, and he averages 5.6 this season.
The Desk's pick

Keldon Johnson over 3.5 rebounds · Kast It: Love

He averages 5.6 rebounds and 5.8 over his last five. The risk: a blowout trims his minutes.

The Desk's call
Spurs 119, Mavericks 106. Kast it.

San Antonio is a big favorite at home and has won five straight.

The Desk's ideas, not guarantees. Lines and injuries change. 21+. 1-800-GAMBLER.

Want the full Game Plan?

Kast Klub is coming with a Game Plan for every featured game, plus the Prop Builder and the Lineup Builder to build your own slips and lineups.

See Kast Klub

Ideas are for entertainment and informational purposes only and are not guarantees. Lines and injuries change, so check them before you play. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Kast Klub · Coming soon

Want the full Game Plan?

Join the waitlist and hear first when the Klub opens.